The title of this post is a hilarious and curt quote said by John Maynard Keynes in response to someone calling him out for switching his position on some issue. Recently, I've read some stuff that makes me thinks the facts have changed about the Bengals. And so I'm going to write a really long, wordy post about it.
Sometime last week, blinded by my irrational love for TJ I got into a comment back and forth with tide182. He did not like TJ. I did. The argument basically went like this:
Tide: stop talking about TJ, he was way overrated
Me (feeling very smug): yes, him and his awesome stats (which I threw out) were overrated, riiiiight, why don't you back up your argument with actual facts?
Tide: (throws out tons of more detailed and better contextual stats) here is why he was overrated, he's also old, let's all move on
Me: yeah...well...fuck you
The point? Do not argue stats with tide182. But in that argument tide182 graciously reintroduced me to a site that I had forgotten to visit for quite awhile, ProFootballFocus, which charts the performance of every player, on every play of every game. They then grade the players. This makes PFF's performance evaluation, even despite inevitable flaws, about a zillion times more methodical, objective and elaborate than almost any casual fan and a majority of professional analysts as well.
The site got a nice facelift since I last visited and I started reading their Bengals focused articles or articles that touched upon the Bengals. The guys at PFF raised concerns that definitely manifested themselves quite clearly against the Patriots so I'm becoming sympathetic to their insights. Here's insight number 1: